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Spread Handel ist, wenn Sie einen Futures-Vertrag kaufen und verkaufen einen verwandten Futures-Kontrakt zur gleichen Zeit. Wenn Sie dies tun, handeln Sie den Unterschied oder Spread-Preis zwischen den beiden Verträgen Die beliebteste Art von Spread-Handel heißt Kalender oder Intra-Markt-Spread, dh identische Verträge werden gekauft, eine lange die andere kurz mit verschiedenen Auslaufzeiten zum Beispiel, lange Juli und kurzen Dezember Mais. Die zweite Art ist Inter-Markt-Spreads, die eng verwandten Märkten sind, aber mit identischen Verfallzeiten für Beispiel lange August schlanke Schweine und kurze August lebende Rinder In einigen Fällen können Wechselwährungsspreads s durch den Kauf von verwandten Verträgen bei d erstellt werden Ifferent austauschen zum Beispiel langer Juli Weizen am Chicago Board of Trade CBOT und kurzer Juli Weizen am Kansas City Board of Trade KCBOT. In allen Fällen nimmt der Spread Trader das Risiko zwischen zwei verschiedenen Kontrakten. Ein Spread Trader kann genauso leicht handeln Der Unterschied zwischen Gold und Silber Lassen Sie uns sagen, Gold ist US 1.000 Unzen und Silber ist US 20 Unzen Als Spread Trader können Sie die Ansicht, dass, wenn Gold und Silber erreichen ein Preis-Verhältnis von 50 1 der Spread-Preis ist zu eng historisch und das Es sollte sich erweitern, um zu sagen 55 1 Es gibt keine Ansicht oder Erwartung davon, ob Gold und Silber im Preis nach oben oder unten verschieben wird, ist der Spread-Trader weder bullisch noch bärisch entweder Metall unbedingt Um finanziell zu helfen, kann ein Händler US 100.000 Gold kaufen und verkaufen US 100.000 Silber mit 100 Unzen Futures-Kontrakten Gleiche Geldbeträge werden für Parität angewendet und da die einzelnen Märkte auf und ab schwanken oder sogar in die gleiche Richtung gehen, können Sie von einem Outpacing der oth profitieren Er Nach einer Weile merken Sie, dass das Verhältnis Gold zu Silber Preis hat sich auf 55 1 beide Märkte haben sich im Preis niedriger, zum Beispiel Gold ist jetzt US 950 Unzen und Silber ist US 17 27 Unzen Die 100 Unzen Gold bei 1.000 gekauft Oz wird bei 950 Unzen im Wert von 95.000 verkauft, was 5.000 Verlust der 5.000 Unzen Silber verkauft bei 20 Unzen kann bei 17 27 gekauft werden, was einen 13.650 Gewinn bedeutet Der Netto-Unterschied ist 13.650 - 5.000 8.650 Gewinn Der Silberpreis übertraf den Goldpreis Sie Kann lesen Sie die gesamte veröffentlichte Artikel in FN Arena genannt Ein Einführung in Spread Trading Abschnitt fnarena. In allen Spread Handel der Trader sucht nach einem Bein der Ausbreitung übertreffen die anderen in price. Your Erste Guide to Volume Spread Analysis VSA. Sie haben Gehört von Volume Spread Analysis und dem Wert, den es Ihrer Analyse hinzufügen könnte. Aber es klingt wie eine gewundene Handelsmethode mit ungewöhnlichen Begriffen wie No Demand Bar und Stoppen von Volumen ist VSA wirklich so unzugänglich. Zusammen können wir den ersten Schritt zu unterstaieren Nding VSA Mit diesem Leitfaden finden Sie, dass VSA ist eine intuitive Methode, nachdem alle. Was ist Volumen Spread Analysis VSA. VSA ist die Studie der Beziehung zwischen Volumen und Preis, um Markt Richtung zu prognostizieren. Insbesondere ist es die Aufmerksamkeit auf. Range Verbreitung Unterschied zwischen hoch und eng. Closing Price Relative to Range Ist der Schlusskurs in der Nähe der Spitze oder der Unterseite der Preis bar. Who erfunden VSA. There sind drei große Namen in VSAs Entwicklung. Jesse Livermore sprach von einer Theorie auf Marktmanipulation basiert Er arbeitete auch seine Theorie in seiner legendären Trading Karriere Allerdings hat er nicht übergeben konkrete Trading-Methoden Sein Erbe ist das eines Traders und nicht ein Erzieher. Jesse Livermores Methoden der Trading in Aktien von Richard Wyckoff. Richard Wyckoff war viel mehr daran interessiert education To find methods that work in the markets, he interviewed top traders including Jesse Livermore Wyckoff proposed the idea of a Composite Trader that embodies the entire market He used the Composite Trader to explain the market phases of accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Neither Jesse Livermore nor Richard Wyckoff used the term Volume Spread Analysis It was Tom Williams who used the term to describe the methods he built based on the Richard Wyckoffs ideas Tom Williams books and software has helped to propel the concepts of VSA among traders. Why does VSA work. The basic idea is that the public can only make money from the markets if we understand what the professional traders are doing And professional traders are not small players They play big. Hence, they leave their footprints in volume data When the professionals are active, the market shows high trading volume Conversely, when the market volume is low, the professionals might be holding their horses. It follows that in order to get a sense of what the big guys are up to, looking at just price action is not enough We need to look at price together with volume. Does VSA work in all markets. VSA focuses on price and volume a nd seeks to find the actions of professional traders Hence, as long as a market has a group of professionals and offers reliable price and volume data, the trading premise of VSA holds. Almost all financial markets stocks, futures, forex seem to fit the bill. However, in the spot forex market, volume is a tricky concept You will not get actual traded volume You get tick volume which measures the times the price ticks up or down If you intend to use VSA methods for trading spot forex, you need to decide if your source of tick volume is a reliable proxy for actual volume Need help deciding The ForexFactory forum has a discussion on trading forex with VSA. How do we use VSA to trade. I will not sugar-coat the fact that VSA is difficult to master This is because traders have interpreted various VSA concepts differently To trade well with VSA requires years of practice and market observation Consider how much time Jesse Livermore, Richard Wyckoff, and Tom Williams spent studying the markets. Non etheless, we can still improve our trading with basic VSA concepts that are easy to understand Hence, in this first guide, we will look at two simple VSA concepts. No Selling Pressure. VSA Basic Concepts. The following definitions are based on Tom Williams book on VSA Master the Markets.1 No Demand on Up Bar. If the market rises with contracting spread and volume, the market is not showing demand Without demand, it is not likely to continue rising. To find No Demand bars. Price closed higher than the previous bar. Volume is lower than past two bars. Spreads Range are narrow.2 No Selling Pressure on Down Bar. If the market falls with decreasing spread and volume, the market is not interested in selling Thus, it is not likely that the market will continue to fall. To find No Selling Pressure bars. Price closed lower than the previous bar. Volume is lower than past two bars. Spreads Range are narrow. VSA Trading Examples. In the two examples below, we will use a 20-period simple moving average as our trend indicator Our aim is to use the concepts of No Demand and No Selling Pressure to find trend retracement trades. In the charts below, I have marked the No Demand bars with red arrows and the No Sellin g Pressure bars with green arrows Click on the images to zoom.1 No Demand Bar Potential Short Trade. This chart shows the daily bars of Deere Company DE. This bar punched below the SMA and hinted at an impending bear trend. These three consecutive No Demand bars confirmed the lack of market interest to resume the bullish run. Hence, we had a great context for considering a short trade.2 No Selling Pressure Potential Long Trade. This chart shows the daily bars of The Proctor Gamble Company PG. The market was in a strong bull trend and remained above the SMA. In this sideways pullback, we observed three No Selling Pressure bars They hinted that the bears are not forthcoming, and the stage for a bullish retracement trade was set. This bullish Pin Bar offered the ideal setup bar. Where can we learn more about VSA. VSA is gaining in popularity, and there is no lack of resources to advance your understanding. Master the Markets. Trading In the Shadow of the Smart Money. Trades About to Happen A Modern Ad aptation of the Wyckoff Method. Forum Discussions on VSA. There are great discussions on VSA on Traders Laboratory and Forex Factory To find information on VSA in popular trading forums with a click, try our Trading Forums Search Engine. VSA Trading Software. There are many software that claim to use VSA techniques to help you trade better I would not comment on their efficacy as I have not used them. But I am sure that no software will bring you trading success unless you truly understand the VSA principles Hence, you should definitely learn as much as you can about VSA, before relying on a software for your analysis This approach will make sure that you do not use the software blindly, if you do buy one. Related Volume Strategies. These are not classic VSA methods, but they will help you understand the interaction between price and volume. Volume is valuable because it offers another market dimension for analysis Volume is also dangerous because it confuses those who do not understand it. Tak e one step at a time Pick up VSA concepts steadily and use them in your trading prudently Once volume starts to make sense to you, you will see progress but improvements will not come overnight. Price and volume giving conflicting signals Master price before volume Learn more about my price action trading course. Jesse Livermores trading rules the best kept secrets in finance. Can you reduce the complex business of investing to a few simple rules It sounds too good to be true But the story of Jesse Livermore, one of the most consistently successful traders in history, suggests that you can More to the point, you probably should. Born in 1877, Livermore saw his fortunes peak in 1929 with a net worth of 100m Thats the equivalent of something comfortably above 1bn today Unlike todays hedge-fund and private-equity giants, he built that fortune using his own money and his own system The game of speculation, wrote Livermore at the start of his book, is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer They will die poor. Consistently profitable trading following Livermores rules is perfectly possible The reason why it is not more widely achieved is simply because it requires significant mental discipline, and not much else The prevailing human tendency today is to look for quick wins and to avoid hard graft or any form of psychological pain, or effort For example, it is difficult to follow a strategy that tells you to initiate a trade when the last ten trading signals from that strategy have caused you to lose money But it could be the 11th signal that wins back all your previous losses, and more. What is striking about the Livermore approach is that it requires no market forecasting whatsoever, no analysis of always subjective and mysterious fundamentals As he writes himself, never trust your own opinion and back your judgement until the action of the market itself confirms your opinion If this sounds like technical analysis, thats because it is. The essence of the Livermore strategy is what is now called trend-following it involves waiting for the market the underlying nature of which is irrelevant it could be stocks, commodities, exchange rates, whatever to display a trend, and then hitching a ride on that trend The trend could be up or it could be down it makes no difference to the trend-following trader. However, what is crucially important is money management, or risk management, if you prefer Know how much of your overall capital to deploy on a given trade, and know precisely when to get out If you do not have an exit strategy, you do not have a strategy, full stop Unlike Livermore, todays trader can use automatic stop-losses at predetermined levels to pursue this objective. Livermore began his career at the office of stockbroker Paine Webber He moved on to trading from bucket shops off-exchange dealerships with more than a whiff of skulduggery to them But Livermore was not a con man He moved on in turn to trade on the New York Stock Exchange By 1906 he had amassed a fortune of 250,000, in part by shorting stocks ahead of the San Francisco earthquake Not for nothing did he become known as the Boy Plunger. During his career, Livermore made and lost several fortunes Tragically, he died by his own hand, putting a bullet into his brain shortly after the publication of his autobiographical study How To Trade In Stocks As he was the first to admit, he lost money whenever he failed to follow his own rules Among these, some of the key ones were. Stick with the trend. Dont trade when there are no obvious opportunities. Wait for the market to confirm your opinion before trading. Cut your losses, but let your winning positions run. Don t follow too many markets. Never average down into a losing position. None are revolutionary insights But you would be surprised to discover how many professional investors have no interest in Livermore or in following these few essential rules Plenty of successful traders have followed in Jesse Livermores wake What they have in common is that they are all, to a greater or lesser extent, trend-followers Ed Seykota managed to turn 5,000 into 15m over 12 years Michael Marcus turned an initial 30,000 grubstake into 80m Bruce Kovner, trained by Michael Marcus, is worth over 3 5bn David Harding, founder of the UK-based trend-following firm Winton Capital, is worth over 600m. The stories of all of these successful traders can be found at the excellent online resource for trend-followers, Turtle Trader. At the risk of sounding hyperbolic, I would humbly suggest that trend-following is the best-kept secret in the financial markets. Tim Price is director of investments at PFP Wealth Management He also edits The Price Report investment newsletter. In the report, you ll discover. The mortal threat buried in our financial system and how this threat is rearing its head in the markets right now. Why central bankers could be about to take the cash right from your wallet. And the ONLY strategy that may stand any chance of protecting investors money at times like this. Adam Warner s Options Volatility Trading Strategies for Profiting from Market Swings. I have begun reading Adam Warner s new book Options Volatility Trading Strategies for Profiting from Market Swings For those of you who don t know, Adam writes the excellent and influential blog Daily Options Report I started reading Adam s writing when he co-wrote the options column on Street Insight part of the TheStreet family from spring 2003 to spring 2005 He is currently Options Editor at Minyanville You can read his profile at his About on his blog. Readers should know tha t I correspond occasionally with Adam and have great respect for him I have learned a tremendous amount from his articles and from his answers to my questions Moreover, I admired his warning readers that they might wish to exercise caution when following Lenny Dykstra s options articles on The Street His warnings were long before Dystra s problems became fodder for the mass media, including CNBC Adam is a friend and thus I will likely be biased in my review of his book. So far, I have just covered the Introduction, Chapter 1 Who Am I Why Am I Here and Chapter 2 Know Your Greeks The introduction is great because Adam sets out that the book will not be a cookbook with easy to follow recipes for success nor will it be steeped in heavy mathematics or formulas Instead, the book will be focused on how to use information and data to manage an active account or portfolio with an ever changing set of circumstances Adam provides his personal background in Chapter 1 I found knowing his background interesting for a couple reasons First, I was amazed at how primitive the options markets were only a few years ago And second, because of Adam s experience as a floor trader at the Amex Option Exchange, I know that Adam has a well honed intuitive feel for the markets and is able to think rapidly on his feet In Chapter 2, Adam provides the reader with a high level overview of the major Greeks in options trading As stated earlier, Adam skips over the mathematical treatments and provides the reader with the essential information. If you are just starting out with Options, this book is not your best starting point You should have a basic understanding of calls and puts If you don t have that understanding, the free educational videos at Options New Network ONN TV are a good resource You don t require an in-depth understanding of options to read Adam s book However, you should know what calls and puts are and understand their basic payoff diagrams. So far, I am thoroughly enjoying Adam s boo k After a few more chapters, I will provide another update. Chapter 3 Understanding the VIX This is a critical chapter because it serves as the backbone for the book You learn what volatility is and how it is represented through VIX VIX is how many investors and traders express fear and complacency However, VIX is not perfect and this chapter explains why. Chapter 4 Nuts and Bolts VIX You learn that VIX represents the expected volatility of the SPX, the SP 500 Notice that it is an expected volatility For example, a VIX of 32 implies a roughly 2 percent range in the SPX on any given day You also learn that volatility has two key components volatility of individual SP 500 component stocks and correlation among those stocks That is, if stocks are extremely volatile but uncorrelated, then the VIX will be lower than when the stocks are undergoing the same volatility but are tanking in unison. Chapter 5 Volatility Timing With regard to buying and selling options, you learn that not every day is created equal There are better days within the expiration cycle to either buy or sell options And, there is seasonality to options as well. Chapter 6 How Do Traders Trade Volatility This chapter is where the real fun starts Now, you are beginning to use your knowledge from the previous chapters to think about how you want trade If you buy or sell options, what are your considerations with regard to volatility, delta, and gamma Can a buyer and seller of the same options both make money, and if so, how Do you prefer a high or low volatility environment, and why What does volatility mean to options traders. Chapter 7 Options and the Quarterly Earnings Report. Often you hear analysts say, Stock ABCD is expected to move X , either up or down, after the bell when it releases its earnings. This chapter teaches you how you can determine for yourself how much the stock is expected to move This knowledge is helpful whether you are an option or stock trader If your expectations are different from th at of the market, you can play accordingly But, as Warner mentions, you have to be prepared to defend your position and take your medicine when the markets surprise you. Chapter 8 Like the Weather--The Trader VIX and Why It Doesn t Do What You Think It Does. For those that don t understand them well, VIX, VIX futures, VIX Options on Futures, and VIX ETNs are complex and confusing After reading this chapter, I have a clear understanding of how these instruments work Consequently, I will take Warner s advice not to use them Instead, as he suggests, I will keep it simple by using a different set of common indexes and ETFs. With all the discussion in the media about VIX and fear index and how people might want to protect themselves against volatility, investors and traders should understand VIX I suspect a surprising number do not. Chapter 9 Ratio, Ratio. Put call ratios should be interpreted and used with caution, especially for individual stocks By themselves, they could indicate any number o f scenarios, and for you the trader, it is often difficult, if not impossible, to understand which scenario is at play. Chapter 10 We re Pin Jammin. Warner discusses the circumstances that make pins more likely A pin is where a stock expires at a strike price If you knew in advance where a stock would be pinned, then you could profit from this knowledge. Chapter 11 Myth-Busting and Other Assorted Options - and Expiration-Related Stats. There are several urban legends related to options and options expiry Warner examines a few of them and provides you with his analysis For example, we often hear that expiration week is more volatile Is that true, and if so, how can you profit from it. Chapter 12 Buy-Write--You Bet. I found this chapter surprising because the results were exactly counter to my expectations A buy-write is when an investor or trader buys a stock and sells a call The call provides extra income while limiting potential capital gains Under what circumstance is it advantageous to en gage in buy-writes. Chapter 13 Strategy Room. This is a great chapter because Warner provides his thoughts and analysis on some common strategies such as. Bull Call Spread. Bear Put Spread. Calendar Call Spread. Backspread and Calendar Spread Combined. Armed with this knowledge, you are better equipped to think about which strategies you want to employ under various circumstances. Chapter 14 Ultra and Inverse ETFs. I found this chapter surprising, because even though I am well versed in how double and triple exchange traded funds ETFs work, I didn t realize the size and scope of some of these ETFs If you don t understand how ultra and inverse ETFs grind your results down over time, you definitely need to read and understand this chapter And perhaps you ll be surprised too at how important these ultra and inverse ETFs have become to the markets. Chapter 15 Chartin Them Derivatives. Many investors have profited by using technical analysis In this chapter, Warner cautions traders not to employ the s ame methodology to derivatives Under certain circumstances, it might provide some additional guidance around the edges. Chapter 16 Plus Ticks and Other Rules. The key theme in this chapter is that you must trade the market you re given, not the market you would like it to be Whether you agree with the plus tick rule for shorting stocks is irrelevant Trade the market with rules as they exist. Disclosure I am long TheStreet TSCM stock And as part of the Amazon Associate program, I receive remuneration for each book sold by clicking on the Amazon links in my article. Forex - Weekly outlook August 17 - 21.Investing - The dollar pushed higher on Friday after the release of upbeat U S data on producer prices and industrial output, but still ended the week broadly lower against a basket of major currencies as uncertainty over China weighed. The greenback was boosted after data showing that U S producer prices were higher for a third straight month in July, while factory output increased at the fas test rate in eight months. But another report showed that U S consumer sentiment dipped slightly in this month. The positive data bolstered the outlook for third quarter growth and underlined expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve as early as next month. EUR USD was down 0 35 to 1 1110 in late trade, paring back weekly gains to 1 4.USD JPY was at 124 28 in late trade, off lows of 124 06, and ended the week little changed. The U S dollar index, which measures the greenback s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose to 96 61 following the release of the data The index still ended the week down 1 12 , the largest decline in nine weeks. The dollar had weakened broadly earlier in the week after China devalued its currency in a surprise move on Tuesday, in a bid to shore up growth in the flagging economy. The People s Bank of China described the move as a one-off depreciation , based on a new way of managing the exchange rate that better reflected market forces. Uncertainty over the impact of the devaluation on global inflation expectations and the outlook for growth in China sparked fears that the Fed could keep short-term interest rates on hold for longer. The move boosted the euro as investors moved to unwind euro-funded positions on the Chinese currency. In the euro zone, preliminary data on Friday showed that economic growth in the region slowed to 0 3 in the second quarter, down from 0 4 in the first three month of this year. The data was offset after the Greek government approval of a deal with creditors on a 85 billion euro bailout. In the week ahead, investors will be awaiting the minutes of the Fed s July meeting for any indications on its plans to hike interest rates for the first time since 2006.Data on euro zone private sector activity on Friday and U S inflation data on Wednesday will also be closely watched. Ahead of the coming week, Investing has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the marke ts. Monday, August 17.Japan is to release what will be closely watched preliminary figures on second quarter economic growth. Switzerland is to publish data on retail sales. The U S is to release a report on manufacturing activity in the New York region. Tuesday, August 18.The Reserve Bank of Australia is to publish the minutes of its latest monetary policy meeting, giving investors insight into how officials view the economy and their policy options. The U K is to release data on consumer price inflation. The U S is to release data on building permits and housing starts. Wednesday, August 19.Japan is to release data on the trade balance. New Zealand is to release data on inflation expectations. The U S is to release figures on consumer inflation Later in the day, the Federal Reserve is to publish the minutes of its July monetary policy meeting. Thursday, August 20.The Bank of Japan is to announce its benchmark interest rate and publish its rate statement, which outlines economic conditions and the factors affecting the monetary policy decision. Switzerland is to release data on the trade balance. The U K is to publish figures on retail sales. Canada is to produce data on wholesale sales. The U S is to release reports on initial jobless claims, existing home sales and manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region. Friday, August 21.China is to release preliminary data manufacturing activity. The euro zone is to release survey data on manufacturing and service sector activity. The U S is to release data on public sector net borrowing. Canada is to publish figures on consumer inflation and retail sales. The U S is to round up the week with preliminary data on manufacturing activity. Forex Trading Market Laws. The currency trader can be compared to the motorist Laws of movement of the market and principles of its development are very similar to driving laws For example, let take the car ride that is a very beautiful toy Behind its brilliant cowl the powerful and productive engine is hi dden As also the finance here are weight of details, procedures and enough difficult operations. But on roads of the exchange market there are no control posts, and this fact heats the soul However the market itself possesses property to punish infringers of financial discipline Therefore before the work beginning in the market it is necessary to study rules of currency movement , controls , and other concepts As well as in any business, work in the exchange market needs to be begun with the small steps After all the exchange market demands the same attentive studying, as well as a commercial real estate. At first it is necessary to find out, who needs to be known by sight The most important currencies are an US dollar, euro, Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, English pound sterling On a share of these currencies is put the basic trade volume in market FOREX In the London market occurs about 32 percent of turnover, in the markets of the USA 18 percent, in the markets of Germany ten percent. 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